my country's robot technology is gradually maturing and developing towards the mid-to-high end

The robot industry has undoubtedly become one of the most watched industries in China. However, capital and entrepreneurs are gradually returning to rationality. In 2017, the growth rate of the registration of robot companies declined for the first time. In addition, the problems of low-end robot high-end industry and the bottleneck of core components have also been significantly improved.

Luo Junjie, deputy director of the Equipment Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, said recently, "At present, the development of China's robot industry is undergoing a tough phase from quantity expansion to high-quality development. In the future, robots, especially service robots, may show a tendency Applied to the field of robots, cloud service technology accelerates the comprehensive improvement of robot application levels, and artificial intelligence will promote the continuous enrichment of robot application scenarios. "

my country's robot technology is gradually maturing and developing towards the mid-to-high end

Investment is approaching the rational stage

According to public data, the global robot market reached US $ 23.2 billion in 2017, while the Chinese market size was approximately US $ 6.28 billion during the same period. The average growth rate of the global market from 2012 to 2017 was about 17%, while the average growth rate of the Chinese market reached 28% during the same period.

my country's industrial robots have become the world's largest application market for five consecutive years, accounting for about one-third of the global market share.

In 2017, domestic industrial robot companies also handed out brilliant transcripts. For example, Eston's revenue increased by 59% year-on-year and net profit increased by 39%; Tuostar's revenue increased by 76.5% and net profit increased by 78%; Huazhong CNC revenue increased by 21% and net profit increased by 146.8%.

During the 5th China Robot Summit, Fu Sheng, chairman of Cheetah Mobile, said, "Our company produces industrial robotic robots. Last year, it was better to buy components and harmonic reducers from the market. Last year, we found that harmonic reducers are in short supply. It is difficult to buy. It is expected that the future of the robot industry will usher in explosive growth. "

With policy support and rapid capital injection, robotics companies are taking root all over the country. The "Research on the Development of China's Robot Industry" (hereinafter referred to as "Research") jointly released by the Robot Lecture Hall shows that as of the end of last year, there were more than 6,500 robot-related enterprises nationwide, and there are currently more than 60 robot industrial parks in China.

my country's robot technology is gradually maturing and developing towards the mid-to-high end

It is worth noting that after a period of blind and disorderly development of the robot and artificial intelligence market, capital and entrepreneurs are gradually returning to rationality, and the market is tending to develop steadily. According to "Research", since 2017, the growth rate of the number of registered robot companies has decreased by 15 percentage points compared with 2016.

"No core technology will soon be submerged in the tide." Yao Feng, Chairman of Jiangfeng Electronics, reminded, "The output of the robot on the tuyere is unquestionable. But this meal is not tasty. First, the lack of core technology, the entire core component is likely to rely on foreign imports; Vicious competition is formed, which leads to lower and lower gross profit margins. "

Accelerating the localization of core components

Indeed, the bottleneck problem of the core components of the robot has always been a barrier that the domestic robot industry cannot circumvent. The technical barriers in the industry have also made the current major share of the robot market still the international "four major families" (Swiss ABB, Japan Fanuc, Japan Yaskawa, Germany Kuka).

According to the latest research report of GF Securities, from the perspective of cost, the core and difficulties of robot technology are concentrated in the upstream parts market. Reducers, controllers and servo motors account for nearly 70% of the total cost. The import cost of a reducer is about It is 3-4 times the foreign price, which is the main bottleneck restricting the development of domestic robots.

However, many robot industry experts and practitioners recently told reporters that the current dependence of robot core components on foreign imports has greatly improved.

my country's robot technology is gradually maturing and developing towards the mid-to-high end

Su Mingdong, director of Jinggong Science and Technology Office, said in an interview with reporters that many of the core robot technologies and components used to be imported, but now most of the company's core components can be self-sufficient.

Zhu Shiqiang, dean of the Robotics Research Institute of Zhejiang University and director of the Zhijiang Laboratory, believes that the vast majority of domestic robot parts have become more and more mature, which is a basic trend. With my country's research and development on core technologies and core components, to some extent, it has also forced some international monopoly component suppliers to lower prices and thresholds.

Recently, the process of import substitution of domestic robot parts has accelerated. According to public information, in the field of RV reducers, China Great Power and Bronte signed a purchase and sales contract of not less than 30,000 sets of RV reducers, and Shuanghuan Transmission and Eft signed a contract of 10,000 sets of reducers.

Integrate AI, transform to middle and high-end

In addition, my country's robot "low-end industry low-end" problem has also been repeatedly mentioned. In Zhu Shiqiang's view, although the space for robot demand in the future can be imagined is very large, the problem is that robot products that meet the market requirements can not be taken now. Taking the accompanying robot as an example, many robot products are still too low-end. There is still a long way to go.

At the 5th China Robot Conference just concluded, the reporter saw that the industrial robots on display were mainly robot arms, robot hands and AGVs (automatic guided transport vehicles). However, the reporter also noted that before most robot manufacturers in my country can only produce low-end robots with 3 to 5 axes, and now many companies can produce 6-axis high-end products.

And Luo Jun, the executive chairman of the International Robot and Intelligent Equipment Industry Alliance, once told reporters, "The robot arms and logistics robots in factories can only be counted as automated machines, and at most they can only be robots 1.0. The real robots should be machine plus Put on artificial intelligence, and integrate information technology and Internet technology, and be able to self-perceive, learn, and make decisions. I call it Robot 2.0. "

my country's robot technology is gradually maturing and developing towards the mid-to-high end

Enterprises have also felt the necessity of innovative technology from changes in customer requirements. Su Mingdong told reporters that the customer's requirements for the company's products in recent years have mainly revolved around technological transformation and updated technology, including access to AI and the Internet of Things. The robot industry is still in the basic development stage and is gradually maturing. The market is not yet saturated. What is needed now is technology precipitation.

Dr. Wen Zhiqing, Vice President of Ningbo Intelligent Manufacturing Industry Research Institute, believes that as an enterprise, in addition to further improvement of technology, it is also necessary to reduce the price of robots and further improve the cost performance of products.

With the rapid development of big data, cloud computing, artificial intelligence and other technologies, the outline of the era of robot 2.0 has gradually become clear, and how to overcome technical problems and enter the mid-to-high-end field of robots has become the key to the development of the current industry.

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